Making Sense of DNA Patterns: New Research on DNA Transfer and Activity-Level Modeling

New research from Flinders University used video and Bayesian network modeling to map DNA transfer during social interactions, confirming that background DNA and shedder status are critical to evaluating evidence.

Simplyforensic
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The study captured the movement of DNA from four people playing a board game, demonstrating how social interactions affect DNA transfer patterns on surfaces and clothing

Piecing together the events at a crime scene often involves more than just identifying whose DNA is present; it requires determining how and when that DNA was deposited. This is the heart of the activity-level evaluation in forensic genetics. Due to the extreme sensitivity of modern STR DNA analysis techniques, investigators can now detect trace amounts of DNA originating from only a few cells, making the interpretation of DNA transfer more complex than ever.

A series of new investigations by Flinders University and other experts, published in Forensic Science International: Genetics, tackles this challenge head-on. By using video recordings and advanced Bayesian network probability modeling, the research highlights the complex ways human DNA moves within indoor spaces, providing essential data for court cases where a suspect’s casual activity is used to explain the presence of their DNA on an incriminating piece of evidence.

The Problem: Context in Trace DNA

The sensitivity of forensic DNA techniques has improved substantially, leading to the detection of minute traces of DNA. This increased sensitivity means that DNA transfer—whether primary or secondary—can occur easily through routine, innocent interactions. Consequently, legal arguments often hinge on activity-level evaluations, where questions about DNA source are conceded, but the question of how the DNA reached the crime scene is disputed. For example, a defendant’s DNA might be present due to an innocent social interaction, rather than involvement in the crime.

The Research: Mapping Transfer in a Social Setting

The research used controlled, simulated activities to generate empirical data on DNA transfer, persistence, prevalence, and recovery within a typical indoor setting.

Methodology: Video, Swabs, and Complex Modeling

The studies employed a multi-faceted methodology:

  1. Simulation and Recording: Participants (a male host, female host, male visitor, and female visitor) engaged in a routine social activity, such as playing a board game in a house. Multiple cameras recorded their movements and all physical contacts made with clothing, people, and surfaces.
  2. Sample Collection: Over 100 DNA samples were collected from the clothing, people, and surfaces.
  3. Bayesian Network Analysis: The researchers used graphical probabilistic Bayesian reasoning (Bayesian networks) to model the multiple potential pathways of DNA transfer—from person-to-person, person-to-object, and site-to-site transfer on packaged evidence. A Bayesian network is a graphical model that represents probabilistic relationships among a set of variables.

Key Findings: The Overwhelming Role of the Donor

The results provide crucial context for interpreting DNA evidence in social settings:

  • Duration is Not Determinative: The studies found that the duration and number of contacts did not significantly affect the detection of the person contacting the item.
  • The Donor is Key: Background DNA from previous contact, as well as an individual’s personal shedder status (innate ability to deposit cells), appeared to play a major role in the presence of DNA.
  • Widespread Unknown DNA: The majority of samples contained DNA from unknown individuals. Furthermore, the indirect transfer of “wearer” DNA from close associates (e.g., family members who are not at the scene) was also detected.
  • Modeling Transfer: The research was able to model and demonstrate how human DNA moves within indoor spaces, and even how DNA can be completely removed from areas where crimes occurred.

From DNA Match to Activity-Level Evaluation

This series of studies is essential for the forensic genetics community, particularly for advancing our ability to move from a sub-source proposition (whose DNA) to an activity-level proposition (how the DNA got there).

The Power of Bayesian Reasoning

The utilization of Bayesian networks is a powerful application of modern statistics in forensic science. It moves the evaluation beyond simple probability statements, allowing examiners to integrate complex variables—such as shedder status, background transfer, and multiple contact events—into a quantifiable model. This methodology is critical for transparently communicating the value of DNA evidence in court, especially when faced with plausible alternative explanations for a suspect’s DNA presence.

The Background DNA Challenge

The finding that background DNA and transfer from close associates are prevalent is one of the most significant challenges in STR DNA analysis today. As a Senior DNA analyst experienced in STR DNA analysis, I know that increased sensitivity also means increased complexity. We can’t ignore the presence of DNA, but we must contextualize it. This research provides the empirical data needed to quantify the probability of innocent DNA transfer and inform the development of more sophisticated interpretive guidelines.

My Perspective: Enhancing Transparency in Court

The results underscore the value of combining scientific measurements with video evidence and statistical modeling to provide the most complete crime scene reconstruction. This effort to develop activity-level evaluations is crucial for maintaining the integrity of DNA evidence in court. The work by Dr. Taylor and Dr. Goray allows us to make more informed decisions about which evidence to sample and how to interpret the results, ultimately delivering long-awaited answers and justice to victims and their families.

Conclusion

This important research on DNA transfer in social settings provides crucial empirical data for advancing activity-level evaluations in forensic genetics. By using video, swabbing, and Bayesian network modeling, the studies confirmed the overwhelming influence of background DNA and individual factors like shedder status on DNA deposition. These findings will help forensic scientists, particularly those specializing in STR DNA analysis, develop rigorous activity-level evaluations that account for the real-world complexities of DNA transfer, ultimately sharpening the science of crime scene reconstruction and enhancing the reliability of DNA evidence in court.

Original Research Papers

  • Cahill, Amy et al. (2024). Where did it go? A study of DNA transfer in a social setting. Forensic Science International: Genetics. DOI: 10.1016/j.fsigen.2024.103101
  • Zacher, Monique et al. (2024). Transfer and persistence of intruder DNA within an office after reuse by owner. Forensic Science International: Genetics. DOI: 10.1016/j.fsigen.2024.103130
  • Taylor, Duncan et al. (2024). Accounting for site-to-site DNA transfer on a packaged exhibit in an evaluation given activity level propositions. Forensic Science International: Genetics. DOI: 10.1016/j.fsigen.2024.103122

Term Definitions

  • Activity-Level Evaluation: A statistical framework in forensic science used to determine the probability of a piece of DNA evidence given competing hypotheses about the activities that could have caused its presence (e.g., “was the suspect there?” vs. “did the suspect shake hands with someone else?”).
  • Background DNA: Trace DNA that is commonly and ubiquitously present on surfaces from innocent, previous contacts.
  • Bayesian Network: A graphical model that uses Bayesian reasoning to represent probabilistic relationships among a set of variables, used here to model the complex pathways of DNA transfer.
  • DNA Transfer: The movement of DNA from a person or object to another person or object, a critical factor in interpreting trace evidence.
  • Shedder Status: An individual’s innate, varying ability to deposit their own skin cells (and thus DNA) onto objects and surfaces.
  • STR DNA Analysis (Short Tandem Repeat): The primary method for creating DNA profiles in forensic genetics.
  • Trace Evidence: DNA or other microscopic materials left at a crime scene.
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Forensic Analyst by Profession. With Simplyforensic.com striving to provide a one-stop-all-in-one platform with accessible, reliable, and media-rich content related to forensic science. Education background in B.Sc.Biotechnology and Master of Science in forensic science.
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